Vice President, Scenario Design

Job Description

The job holder will be a part of the Scenario Design Team which is involved in designing, maintaining and enriching regulatory and management stress scenarios for the Bank at group and country level. They will be expected to become the subject matter expert on all areas relating to climate risk macroeconomics and help with the design and development of the modelling capacity to produce climate risk scenario expansions. As part of the 2LoD Scenario Design team they will be also expected to review non-climate related scenario narratives and projections produced by 1LoD. This will include generating ideas about which type of scenarios to run for management and regulatory stress tests, producing papers for example for Expert Panels and Committees and presenting to senior management. The role will, in particular, support the Head of the Scenario Design Team with key activities as set out below: Key Responsibilities Strategy Design regulatory and non-regulatory macroeconomic and climate risk scenarios. Perform review and challenge and when required scenario expansion of key climate and non-climate risk economic variables across the Group s diverse footprint. Present baseline and alternative scenarios to senior managers in forums, expert panels and committees. Contribute to committee papers, structured data requests and other internal or external scenario-related reports. Foster good working relationships and solicit input from Global Businesses and Global Functions and, where relevant, external vendors to enhance scenarios. Contribute to the development of a robust operational risk framework for scenario design processes Stay informed of all regulatory and industry developments related to the scenario work stream. Business Broad awareness and understanding of business model and risk profile. Understanding of the bank s existing enterprise risk management framework, governance of the ERMF related requirements, wider stress testing and scenario analysis capabilities and existing processes, with an understanding of the climate risk stress testing and scenario analysis approach Skills and Experience Understanding of various scenario families including NGFS, IPCC, and IEA scenarios Understand and translating transmission channels of climate risks into financial system impacts Familiarity with industry leading climate risk models and climate/ESG data providers, with fluency in the scope, capabilities, and limitations of each tool and platform Understanding of regulatory expectations with respect to climate risks including capital frameworks etc Experience in dealing with large complex, change projects and/or building / delivering new capabilities A proven track record of liaising across diverse stakeholder groups; including senior managers, and large firm networks Qualifications Work experience as economist (macroeconomic or environmental economist), econometrician or quantitative analyst. Prior experience of developing projections in a banking environment. Collaborative: working as part of a broader team to ensure a coordinated and consistent approach Good organiser of incoming requests within the team Ability to work with minimal direction Attention to detail Proactive, problem-solving, helpful Strong experience in MS Excel and Power Point Experience with coding in SAS, R, Python